Friday, December 28, 2007

Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl

CHICK-FIL-A PEACH BOWL – Dec. 31st, 7:30 EST

Clemson vs. Auburn

As far as New Year’s eve fare goes, this is a great one, matching up one of the ACC’s classic underachievers against one of the SEC’s chronic overachievers. Without a lot of high-profile talent, at least as far as the SEC goes, Auburn did wonders this year, notching wins over Florida and Alabama, and nearly, so nearly beating soon-to-be national champion LSU. On the other side of the coin, Clemson is the Alabama of the ACC, gagging in big games and looking like giant killers against the sisters of the poor. The Tigers went 9-3 this year, with impressive wins over Wake, South Carolina and Florida State; but against teams with nasty run Ds, they got creamed, taking three on the chin from BC and the two Techs.

There’s an inherent rivalry between the ACC and SEC, with so much mutual turf, and in Clemson, the ACC might have sent the wrong knife to a gun fight. The Tigers have big time weapons in rushers James Davis (83 ypg) and CJ Spiller (54 ypg), and receiver Aaron Kelly (tops in the ACC in ypg). Kelly and junior WR Tyler Grisham were both top five in the league in catches, and if Cullen Harper has time to get them the ball, they’ll do damage. On the other side of the ball, Auburn is a conundrum on defense. They’re awful at getting to QBs, with rankings in the 90s in sacks and TFL. But the pass D is outstanding, at 6th in the country and 2nd in the SEC. What’s the explanation? Some great, underappreciated corners, starting with senior Patrick Lee (51 tackles, 4 INT) and sophomore Jerraud Powers (57 tackles, 4 INT). Short of the VA Tech secondary, Auburn’s will probably be the best Clemson has faced this year. Harper, who tossed 27 TDs against just 6 picks this year, will be hard pressed to survive without throwing an INT or two. Despite all the weaponry boasted by Clemson, however, their history of collapsing in big games doesn’t excited me if I’m a South Carolinian.

On the offensive side of the ball, Auburn has the least yards per game of any 8+ win team in the nation, at just 327 ypg. As Ben Tate peaked in mid-season, the Auburn rush game carried the offense to wins at Arkansas and Florida. But Tate lost steam down the stretch, as did freshman Mario Fannin. Brandon Cox has caught a lot of heat from Auburn fans over the years, some deserved, but his lockdown, clutch as clutch can be performances against Florida and LSU this year signified that he’s really turned the corner, finally, to be a very solid SEC QB.

Cox will have a big game in his Auburn swan song, and the boys from Auburn win the battle of the Tigers in surprisingly easy fashion. Auburn 24, Clemson 10.

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