Friday, December 14, 2007

VA Tech BB Preview: Old Dominion

The Hokies take a little bus trip down south on Sunday, trekking to Norfolk to battle Old Dominion. What kind of challenge will the Monarchs present? Let’s take a look:

Old Dominion (5-4, 1-0 CAA)

The Monarchs have been a tale of two teams so far. They’ve looked very solid in all the games they’re supposed to win against other mid-majors, clubbing Toledo by 31, Iona by 11 and MD-Eastern Shore by 25. But ODU has been dominated by the big boys, losing by double digits to Clemson, UNC, Louisville and Georgetown, in a game many had circled as a potential upset. So, all told, ODU is playing like a solid mid-major team; taking care of business with clarity in the games they should win, but unable to matchup athletically with the big boys.

ODU is lead in both scoring and rebounding by Gerald Lee, who hails from Uusikaupunki, Finland. Gesundheit! Lee has been in double figures 6 of 10 times this year, averages 13.1 ppg and 6.6 rpg, and uses his 6-10, 255 lb. frame to create some matchup problems inside. Lee has been a nice surprise for the Monarchs this year after averaging just 4 points an outing last year. In Lee’s best outings of the year, he’s drawn some fouls and done damage from the charity stripe. Tech needs to play standup defense and make him make shots without giving him free throws. Even though he leads the team in rebounding, 6.6 isn’t a ton for a guy that large, so the task of keeping him off the boards certainly isn’t impossible.

Another key player to watch is senior point guard Brandon Johnson. Johnson is a 4-year contributor in the ODU system, and looks to be having his most well-rounded year yet. He’s not a big cat, at 6-1, 180 lbs., but Johnson is dropping in 7.4 pts, 4.9 rebs and 5.2 assists on the year. Johnson can do a little bit of everything, evidenced in his near-miss of a triple double in the Toledo contest (9-10-9). He’s the voice of experience out there for the Monarchs, but he is prone to costly turnovers. Johnson is averaging 4 turnovers a game in 2007, way up from 2.3 last year in similar minutes. He’ll make some great passes and some terrible ones, and he’s probably not quite good enough to beat Tech.

After Lee, Johnson and senior Brian Henderson, ODU has 7 guys averaging between 13 and 19 minutes a game. I’m not sure I’m ready to call this a deep lineup, as the Monarchs are trying to find the right mix early in the year. However, the team is obviously comfortable with a large number of different players on the floor, so if the game happens to turn in to a foul-fest or goes extra time, ODU will probably benefit.

Prediction: This ODU lineup feels like the perfect recipe for a big game from A.D. Vassallo. The Monarchs are within a field goal at half, but Vassallo leads a second half scoring run to give Tech a double digit victory. Tech 69, ODU 59.

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