Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Is College Football A Sport?

When at a bar and bored of dull talk, I can always count on one back-pocket conversation piece to kick-start interesting dialogue, regardless of my company.

The game is “Sport/Not a Sport”, and it asks one simple question: Is _________ a sport, or is it not a sport? The game is great because everyone, even non-sports fans, have strong opinions. Women are typically quick to defend gymnastics; guys often advocate rugby. In the last three years, “Sport/Not a Sport” has never failed me, not once, in provoking some interesting barstool conversation.

When judging “Sport/Not a Sport”, I stick to one hard and fast criterion: if a game involves a judge, like figure skating or gymnastics, it’s not a sport. Because my number one standard for a sport, after all, is that its outcomes are settled on the field rather than in the imagination. Based on this standard, the game I love most, college football, must now sadly be reconsidered on its validity as a true sport. With this week’s anointing of Ohio State and LSU as the nation’s two best teams, college football fans have to ask themselves the question: Is this game we love still a real sport?

The NFL selects and seeds its 12 postseason qualifiers based solely on their records. The NBA and the NHL choose 16 on the same criteria. Major League Baseball takes 8. The list goes on; MLS, Wimbledon, the Masters, the World Cup…every major United States sporting event allows its finalists to play off for the title at season or event’s end. Even the NCAA basketball tournament, which does feature a selection process, chooses 64 teams and features one defining caveat: if a team wins their league tournament, they will get a chance to play for the national title.

And yet, college football, the only major American game without a season-ending playoff, is the institution which needs one the most.

Consider this: the most rudimentary of statistical understanding dictates that more trials of a given event will yield more accurate results. For example, flipping a coin 1,000 times will render a heads/tails frequency much closer to the coin’s true nature than doing so just 10 times. And now consider that college football offers its participants the least trials of every major American game. With just 12 games in every season, there are far less trials than the NFL (16), NHL and NBA (82) and Major League Baseball (162). The tiny amount of trials in college football, by comparison, yields a sample size that is woefully inept in its ability to determine a “best team”.

And then there is the matter of cross-pollination. Every NFL team plays 60% of its own conference every single year. Every NBA and NHL team plays every other team in the entire league at least once. There are far more opportunities in these other leagues to judge teams head-to-head, via common opponents, etc. But yet, in college football, top teams rarely, if ever, share a common schedule. Between the six major conference champions (Ohio State, LSU, Oklahoma, USC, West Virginia and Virginia Tech), there was just one head-to-head matchup during this season. How many common opponents did the six teams share? 3, between the 6 (Washington, Miami, Mississippi State), and not a single one of the matchups in question took place after October 20th.

But see, even now, we are getting off the track. The entire debate, spurred on by the power brokers at ESPN and from the BCS, as to “Who Belongs in the Title Game?” is a red herring, a false choice with no true purpose other than to distract audiences from the lie that is the Bowl Championship Series. With identical records (5 of the above 6 champions have 2 losses) and no shared opponents, it is a puzzle with no interlocking pieces. They all deserve a title shot. There is no answer.

In what true sport would the four teams in competition with one another for a coveted spot (let’s say, Oklahoma, USC, LSU and West Virginia), “compete” against one another, but never see the field of play in the same city on any given Saturday, and have no idea if they had won or lost until the sun rose Sunday morning?

Let us do away, also, with the absurd notion that the BCS system must be preserved because “every week is a playoff.” This idea is ridiculous on its face. If every week were a playoff, Hawaii would be wearing the national championship crown already, as Division I’s only unbeaten team. If every week were a playoff, our two “national championship finalists” would not be teams that had lost their next to last game. If every week were a playoff, it would have to be called a triple-elimination beauty pageant playoff, since two-loss LSU has been selected as the “most impressive” two-loss squad, and given yet another chance at glory in this wackiest of college football seasons.

Advocates of the “every week is a playoff” argument make the crucial mistake of transposing the words “playoff” and “exciting.” No, every week is not a playoff. Every team in the season-end title conversation LOST. So stop with that right now. But yes, every week of football was exciting this season, as exciting as it has ever been.

And do you somehow mean to tell me that if we undertook a system where the 6 major conference winners and the 2 highest rated minor conference winners engaged in an 8 team playoff, things would somehow get less exciting? Do you mean to tell me that if Team A could be guaranteed a spot in the big huzzah by winning its conference title, but have no chance if it didn’t win the conference crown, the year would somehow become less exciting?

No, obviously not. You would have playoff games all over the map on the season’s final day. Missouri v. Oklahoma, LSU v. Tennessee and Virginia Tech v. Boston College would all have been outright, bona fide playoff games, instead of wait-and-see beauty pageants.

If the system rewarded teams for only their conference play, major powers wouldn’t be as afraid to play other powers out of conference. Games like 2005’s Ohio State vs. Texas would become more commonplace. Teams like Hawaii would have a fighting chance of getting a good team to play them, since that team wouldn’t be out of the national title conversation with a loss. Every game would truly matter, so much more so than it does now. It would be great for college football.

And isn’t that was this is supposed to be about? What’s great for college football? Not what’s great for the bowl executives, running their bowls like the exhibition-match, civic events that they are, picking teams who will “draw more” and not teams that are the best available? Not great for the networks, who are somehow convinced that they can squeeze more coverage out of the insulting “Who’s #1” debate instead of the undeniable cash cow that would be a playoff? Isn’t it supposed to be fair?

In closing, I ask you, fan of college football: what real sport would stand for this? What real sport would allow its greatest prize, the crown jewel of America’s favorite past time, the National Championship of College Football, to be decided by judges? What makes college football different now from figure skating, gymnastics, and the like? When records do not matter (LSU has more losses than Kansas and Hawaii combined), when the top teams in consideration never play each other, when the coveted bowls choose teams based on projected attendance instead of quality, what are we left to do other than wonder why the regular season even matters?

Why play a conference championship game, like Missouri did, when losing will put you below the team you just beat (Kansas) the previous week? Why play a season at all when you’re Hawaii, and you are the only team in the entire nation to go undefeated, but you can’t get anyone to come to the islands to play you? Why do it? What does it matter?

I have nothing against LSU. They are as good a choice as any given the false choice with which we have been presented. They may very well be the 1st, 2nd or 5th best football team in the country. No one alive could make a convincing argument that LSU is definitively better or worse than Ohio State, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Virginia Tech, USC or Hawaii.

As the old adage goes, “That’s why they play the games.”

Except in college football, they don’t.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Your skewed and missing a number of things. First of all pro sports teams go by records because they have a smaller pool of teams with more similar talent. With over 100 teams and varying talent there is no way to say that a Hawaii team should be rewarded for going 12-0 in the WAC. What would they be in the sec right now? Would say South Carolina be undefeated in the Wac right now? You can't scedule more games because at 1 a week the college semester only allows for so many opportunities. 12 is all your gonna get, therefore you can't play enough similar teams to make records a true valid point. There needs to be a human element in determining who is the best. Then if you went by conference champs as you proposed that would be ludicrous. You could have a team lose all their out of conference games and one or two in conference for say 8-4, or even 7-5and win an upset in the conf. champ game. You would then be putting a 4 or even 5 loss team amoung the top 8 teams in the nation. That makes no sense. Another thing is you are missing the concept on the "every week is a playoff" idea. Hawaii does not make that arguement invalid. Every week IS a playoff game for teams in the national title hunt. Excluding minor conferences every major conference team needs to win every week or they beleive they are out. To control your own destiny you can't lose. Sure you can get lucky and lose and have other teams lose, but i'll bet you anything LSU wasn't going into the arkansas game saying "hey guys its ok if we lose, pitt will beat WVU and OKLA will beat Missouri and we'll be just fine, no pressure on us." Every week is a playoff game for those teams ask WVU. Judgement does not affect the winner of games. Scores do. Therefore football is not gymnastics. So what its subjective. A playoff will never happen, its not going to happen, maybe at best they add a plus one scenario and then your still debating who should be the last two slots there and who gets left out. College football is great because it is high stakes every week, changing the landscape could lose that. Suck it up enjoy the season that is full of excitement and things to argue about(which you sports writers love to do) and see that you can still be a complete person even if you do not necessarilly know if the college football champion every year could beat every team in the top 10. What you end up with is the two most impressive teams this season, going head to head in one game for the championship. What is really that bad about that?

Unknown said...

Take heart... it's still a sport.

By your definition each game is still determined on the field. No set of judges or voters determines who wins each game (except OU v. Oregon and a few other rare examples). Take heart, football remains a sport.


The BCS Championship, however, is decidedly NOT a sport. Crowning a champion in football never has been a sport by your definition, it has always been a "pick-em" system. And in that manner it will always be so to some degree.

A playoff would have to be limited to 16 teams max for simple time constraints (not too mention football games in Wyoming, or at Jack Trice for that matter, in December is simply not a good idea. What's more, those 16 would need some criteria to enter - and that would probably involve the polls. In a pure schedule battle Florida, Tennessee, and Auburn would get bumped by BYU, Boise and Hawaii. For that matter, Tulsa, Air Force, UCF and Troy have equal 9-3 results as Ill., Auburn, FL, TN, or Wisconsin.

The game of football remains a sports. Bowl games, national champions, and rankings remain a political game. And not all games are sports.

- Jesse

NE-Jhawk said...

I agree with some of your points, but not your sentiment. This is always a popular oppinion this time of year. There is no lack of fans out there getting ready to bitch and moan until August about things being 'unfair', 'unamerican', and just plain 'wrong'.

I understand what you say about 'sport/not a sport'....but your headline should be "College Football was NEVER a sport" because by your definition it never has been.

Clearly you are not old enough to remember what it was like. When Penn State would play WSU in the rose bowl and NU would play 'the U' in the orange and we would just hope both didn't win.

I'm in favor of a small playoff or + 1 system, don't get me wrong. I want them to continue to improve the system.

But every year there is no end to the writing out there by people who act personally insulted by college football. Don't like it? Don't watch. You knew it was unfair in August....why are you bitching now?

The NFL would be more than happy to allow you to convert to their holy religon. Just get ready to watch your stars getting benched the last 3 weeks of the regular season because the playoffs are wrapped up.

EddieK said...

Brian, you are smarter than half the douchebags writing on espn.com and the like. Go MAC!